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In an emerging economy with rapid productivity growth the real exchange rate should rise over time, through either higher inflation or a rise in the nominal exchange rate.

Over the past decade annual inflation (as measured by the GDP deflator) has averaged 3.8% in China against 2.2% in America.

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Our best guess is that annual real GDP growth over the next decade averages 7.75% in China and 2.5% in America, inflation rates average 4% and 1.5%, and the yuan appreciates by 3% a year.

If so, then China would overtake America in 2019 (see chart).

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  2. Want to up your score with online dating? Swipe the slate clean—and meet the nicest girls—by following these tips.

  3. Feb 13, 2017. Cofounder of online dating app Coffee Meets Bagel discusses the importance of putting women in charge of their dating life, the company's partnership with People magazine's "Sexiest Doctor Alive" and what's new for Valentine's Day.

  4. Oct 10, 1992. The Bensonhurst Dating Game. The host Joe Pesci of "The Bensonhurst Dating Game" doesn't take it well when a Black contestant Chris Rock on his dating show talks dirty to a girl Julia Sweeney from the neighborhood. Season 18, 1992. More info.

  5. Find and save ideas about Dating games on Pinterest. See more ideas about Fun date ideas, Marriage first night and First date tips.

  6. Dec 16, 2010. FORGET Monopoly or World of Warcraft. The Economist's idea of Christmas fun is guessing when China's economy will leapfrog America's to become the world's biggest. The Conference Board, a business-research group, recently predicted that China could become the world's largest economy as soon as.

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